San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 68% confidence

San Diego Padres40%

Cleveland Guardians60%

Model Prediction

Cleveland Guardians

Confidence

68%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CLE: 47/100CLE rated 78/100 vs SD rated 82/100SD: 53/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

CLE: 90/100CLE: 4.0 | SD: 4.3SD: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

CLE: 50/100CLE: 3.9 | SD: 3.9SD: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CLE: 54/100CLE home win rate: 55%SD: 46/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CLE: 55/100Form index — CLE: 88 | SD: 80SD: 45/100

Date

Sat, August 15, 2026

Network

MLB.TV