New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays

Saturday, August 15, 2026Top 3rd

Win Probability

AI Model · 63% confidence

New York Yankees43%

Toronto Blue Jays57%

Model Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays

Confidence

63%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

TOR: 44/100TOR rated 81/100 vs NYY rated 88/100NYY: 56/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

TOR: 90/100TOR: 4.6 | NYY: 4.9NYY: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

TOR: 50/100TOR: 4.1 | NYY: 3.9NYY: 55/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

TOR: 53/100TOR home win rate: 57%NYY: 47/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

TOR: 33/100Form index — TOR: 69 | NYY: 93NYY: 67/100

New York Yankees1AWAY

Top 3rd

Toronto Blue Jays0HOME