Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 77% confidence

Seattle Mariners35%

Houston Astros65%

Model Prediction

Houston Astros

Confidence

77%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

HOU: 59/100HOU rated 90/100 vs SEA rated 79/100SEA: 41/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

HOU: 90/100HOU: 4.8 | SEA: 4.0SEA: 83/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

HOU: 55/100HOU: 3.6 | SEA: 3.8SEA: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

HOU: 55/100HOU home win rate: 63%SEA: 45/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

HOU: 57/100Form index — HOU: 96 | SEA: 86SEA: 43/100

Date

Sat, August 15, 2026

Network

MLB.TV