Washington Nationals @ New York Mets

Friday, August 14, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 75% confidence

Washington Nationals36%

New York Mets64%

Model Prediction

New York Mets

Confidence

75%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

NYM: 58/100NYM rated 80/100 vs WSH rated 70/100WSH: 42/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

NYM: 90/100NYM: 4.2 | WSH: 1.5WSH: 36/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

NYM: 50/100NYM: 4.0 | WSH: 1.5WSH: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

NYM: 54/100NYM home win rate: 55%WSH: 46/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

NYM: 55/100Form index — NYM: 71 | WSH: 64WSH: 45/100

Date

Fri, August 14, 2026

Network

MLB.TV