Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Friday, August 14, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 50% confidence

Boston Red Sox50%

Pittsburgh Pirates50%

Model Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates

Confidence

50%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PIT: 40/100PIT rated 70/100 vs BOS rated 83/100BOS: 60/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PIT: 32/100PIT: 1.5 | BOS: 4.7BOS: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PIT: 90/100PIT: 1.5 | BOS: 4.2BOS: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PIT: 56/100PIT home win rate: 55%BOS: 44/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PIT: 34/100Form index — PIT: 66 | BOS: 89BOS: 66/100

Date

Fri, August 14, 2026

Network

MLB.TV