Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals

Wednesday, August 12, 2026Top 2nd

Win Probability

AI Model · 68% confidence

Philadelphia Phillies40%

St. Louis Cardinals60%

Model Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals

Confidence

68%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

STL: 46/100STL rated 78/100 vs PHI rated 83/100PHI: 54/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

STL: 89/100STL: 4.2 | PHI: 4.7PHI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

STL: 52/100STL: 4.0 | PHI: 4.1PHI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

STL: 57/100STL home win rate: 55%PHI: 43/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

STL: 50/100Form index — STL: 75 | PHI: 75PHI: 50/100

Philadelphia Phillies0AWAY

Top 2nd

St. Louis Cardinals0HOME