Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 75% confidence

Seattle Mariners36%

New York Yankees64%

Model Prediction

New York Yankees

Confidence

75%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

NYY: 57/100NYY rated 88/100 vs SEA rated 79/100SEA: 43/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

NYY: 90/100NYY: 4.9 | SEA: 4.0SEA: 82/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

NYY: 50/100NYY: 3.9 | SEA: 3.8SEA: 53/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

NYY: 53/100NYY home win rate: 61%SEA: 47/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

NYY: 62/100Form index — NYY: 88 | SEA: 71SEA: 38/100

Date

Tue, August 11, 2026

Network

MLB.TV