Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 72% confidence

Pittsburgh Pirates38%

Miami Marlins62%

Model Prediction

Miami Marlins

Confidence

72%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

MIA: 50/100MIA rated 70/100 vs PIT rated 70/100PIT: 50/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

MIA: 90/100MIA: 1.5 | PIT: 1.5PIT: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

MIA: 50/100MIA: 1.5 | PIT: 1.5PIT: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

MIA: 58/100MIA home win rate: 55%PIT: 42/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

MIA: 56/100Form index — MIA: 72 | PIT: 64PIT: 44/100

Date

Tue, August 11, 2026

Network

MLB.TV