Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 57% confidence

Chicago Cubs46%

Washington Nationals54%

Model Prediction

Washington Nationals

Confidence

57%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

WSH: 45/100WSH rated 70/100 vs CHC rated 76/100CHC: 55/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

WSH: 35/100WSH: 1.5 | CHC: 4.3CHC: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

WSH: 90/100WSH: 1.5 | CHC: 4.4CHC: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

WSH: 55/100WSH home win rate: 55%CHC: 45/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

WSH: 58/100Form index — WSH: 80 | CHC: 68CHC: 42/100

Date

Tue, August 11, 2026

Network

MLB.TV