Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 52% confidence

Tampa Bay Rays49%

Athletics51%

Model Prediction

Athletics

Confidence

52%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ATH: 39/100ATH rated 70/100 vs TB rated 84/100TB: 61/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

ATH: 37/100ATH: 1.5 | TB: 4.1TB: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

ATH: 90/100ATH: 1.5 | TB: 3.6TB: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ATH: 56/100ATH home win rate: 55%TB: 44/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ATH: 40/100Form index — ATH: 62 | TB: 76TB: 60/100

Date

Tue, August 11, 2026

Network

MLB.TV