Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 61% confidence

Houston Astros44%

San Francisco Giants56%

Model Prediction

San Francisco Giants

Confidence

61%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

SF: 40/100SF rated 77/100 vs HOU rated 90/100HOU: 60/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

SF: 85/100SF: 4.1 | HOU: 4.8HOU: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

SF: 50/100SF: 4.2 | HOU: 3.6HOU: 64/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

SF: 58/100SF home win rate: 54%HOU: 42/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

SF: 38/100Form index — SF: 69 | HOU: 86HOU: 62/100

Date

Tue, August 11, 2026

Network

MLB.TV