New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

Monday, August 10, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 75% confidence

New York Mets36%

Atlanta Braves64%

Model Prediction

Atlanta Braves

Confidence

75%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ATL: 57/100ATL rated 89/100 vs NYM rated 80/100NYM: 43/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

ATL: 90/100ATL: 5.0 | NYM: 4.2NYM: 84/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

ATL: 55/100ATL: 3.8 | NYM: 4.0NYM: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ATL: 56/100ATL home win rate: 62%NYM: 44/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ATL: 48/100Form index — ATL: 85 | NYM: 88NYM: 52/100

Date

Mon, August 10, 2026

Network

MLB.TV