Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres

Saturday, August 8, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 64% confidence

Houston Astros42%

San Diego Padres58%

Model Prediction

San Diego Padres

Confidence

64%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

SD: 44/100SD rated 82/100 vs HOU rated 90/100HOU: 56/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

SD: 90/100SD: 4.3 | HOU: 4.8HOU: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

SD: 50/100SD: 3.9 | HOU: 3.6HOU: 58/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

SD: 58/100SD home win rate: 57%HOU: 42/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

SD: 42/100Form index — SD: 74 | HOU: 86HOU: 58/100

Date

Sat, August 8, 2026

Network

MLB.TV