Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies

Friday, August 7, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 72% confidence

Toronto Blue Jays38%

Philadelphia Phillies62%

Model Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies

Confidence

72%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PHI: 52/100PHI rated 83/100 vs TOR rated 81/100TOR: 48/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PHI: 90/100PHI: 4.7 | TOR: 4.6TOR: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PHI: 50/100PHI: 4.1 | TOR: 4.1TOR: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PHI: 58/100PHI home win rate: 58%TOR: 42/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PHI: 51/100Form index — PHI: 77 | TOR: 75TOR: 49/100

Date

Fri, August 7, 2026

Network

MLB.TV