New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Friday, August 7, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 54% confidence

New York Mets48%

Pittsburgh Pirates52%

Model Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates

Confidence

54%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PIT: 42/100PIT rated 70/100 vs NYM rated 80/100NYM: 58/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PIT: 36/100PIT: 1.5 | NYM: 4.2NYM: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PIT: 90/100PIT: 1.5 | NYM: 4.0NYM: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PIT: 55/100PIT home win rate: 55%NYM: 45/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PIT: 47/100Form index — PIT: 73 | NYM: 77NYM: 53/100

Date

Fri, August 7, 2026

Network

MLB.TV