Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

Friday, August 7, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 72% confidence

Cincinnati Reds38%

Washington Nationals62%

Model Prediction

Washington Nationals

Confidence

72%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

WSH: 50/100WSH rated 70/100 vs CIN rated 70/100CIN: 50/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

WSH: 90/100WSH: 1.5 | CIN: 1.5CIN: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

WSH: 50/100WSH: 1.5 | CIN: 1.5CIN: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

WSH: 55/100WSH home win rate: 55%CIN: 45/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

WSH: 63/100Form index — WSH: 80 | CIN: 62CIN: 37/100

Date

Fri, August 7, 2026

Network

MLB.TV