New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians

Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

New York Mets39%

Cleveland Guardians61%

Model Prediction

Cleveland Guardians

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CLE: 48/100CLE rated 78/100 vs NYM rated 80/100NYM: 52/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

CLE: 90/100CLE: 4.0 | NYM: 4.2NYM: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

CLE: 53/100CLE: 3.9 | NYM: 4.0NYM: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CLE: 54/100CLE home win rate: 55%NYM: 46/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CLE: 50/100Form index — CLE: 87 | NYM: 87NYM: 50/100

Date

Wed, August 5, 2026

Network

MLB.TV