Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros

Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 81% confidence

Toronto Blue Jays33%

Houston Astros67%

Model Prediction

Houston Astros

Confidence

81%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

HOU: 57/100HOU rated 90/100 vs TOR rated 81/100TOR: 43/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

HOU: 90/100HOU: 4.8 | TOR: 4.6TOR: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

HOU: 62/100HOU: 3.6 | TOR: 4.1TOR: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

HOU: 58/100HOU home win rate: 63%TOR: 42/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

HOU: 58/100Form index — HOU: 97 | TOR: 86TOR: 42/100

Date

Tue, August 4, 2026

Network

MLB.TV