Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies

Monday, August 3, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 77% confidence

Washington Nationals35%

Philadelphia Phillies65%

Model Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies

Confidence

77%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PHI: 60/100PHI rated 83/100 vs WSH rated 70/100WSH: 40/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PHI: 90/100PHI: 4.7 | WSH: 1.5WSH: 32/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PHI: 50/100PHI: 4.1 | WSH: 1.5WSH: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PHI: 56/100PHI home win rate: 58%WSH: 44/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PHI: 62/100Form index — PHI: 84 | WSH: 67WSH: 38/100

Date

Mon, August 3, 2026

Network

MLB.TV