St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays

Sunday, August 2, 2026Top 5th

Win Probability

AI Model · 72% confidence

St. Louis Cardinals38%

Toronto Blue Jays62%

Model Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays

Confidence

72%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

TOR: 52/100TOR rated 81/100 vs STL rated 78/100STL: 48/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

TOR: 90/100TOR: 4.6 | STL: 4.2STL: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

TOR: 50/100TOR: 4.1 | STL: 4.0STL: 52/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

TOR: 56/100TOR home win rate: 57%STL: 44/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

TOR: 51/100Form index — TOR: 80 | STL: 79STL: 49/100

St. Louis Cardinals1AWAY

Top 5th

Toronto Blue Jays0HOME