New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

Friday, July 31, 2026Top 1st

Win Probability

AI Model · 61% confidence

New York Yankees44%

Chicago Cubs56%

Model Prediction

Chicago Cubs

Confidence

61%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CHC: 40/100CHC rated 76/100 vs NYY rated 88/100NYY: 60/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

CHC: 88/100CHC: 4.3 | NYY: 4.9NYY: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

CHC: 50/100CHC: 4.4 | NYY: 3.9NYY: 61/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CHC: 54/100CHC home win rate: 54%NYY: 46/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CHC: 43/100Form index — CHC: 85 | NYY: 95NYY: 57/100

New York Yankees0AWAY

Top 1st

Chicago Cubs0HOME