Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles

Friday, July 31, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

Philadelphia Phillies39%

Baltimore Orioles61%

Model Prediction

Baltimore Orioles

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

BAL: 52/100BAL rated 85/100 vs PHI rated 83/100PHI: 48/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

BAL: 90/100BAL: 4.8 | PHI: 4.7PHI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

BAL: 52/100BAL: 4.0 | PHI: 4.1PHI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

BAL: 54/100BAL home win rate: 60%PHI: 46/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

BAL: 49/100Form index — BAL: 76 | PHI: 77PHI: 51/100

Date

Fri, July 31, 2026

Network

MLB.TV