Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds

Thursday, July 30, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

Pittsburgh Pirates39%

Cincinnati Reds61%

Model Prediction

Cincinnati Reds

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CIN: 50/100CIN rated 70/100 vs PIT rated 70/100PIT: 50/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

CIN: 90/100CIN: 1.5 | PIT: 1.5PIT: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

CIN: 50/100CIN: 1.5 | PIT: 1.5PIT: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CIN: 58/100CIN home win rate: 55%PIT: 42/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CIN: 44/100Form index — CIN: 70 | PIT: 79PIT: 56/100

Date

Thu, July 30, 2026

Network

MLB.TV