Texas Rangers @ Tampa Bay Rays

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 75% confidence

Texas Rangers36%

Tampa Bay Rays64%

Model Prediction

Tampa Bay Rays

Confidence

75%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

TB: 52/100TB rated 84/100 vs TEX rated 82/100TEX: 48/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

TB: 89/100TB: 4.1 | TEX: 4.6TEX: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

TB: 64/100TB: 3.6 | TEX: 4.2TEX: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

TB: 56/100TB home win rate: 58%TEX: 44/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

TB: 46/100Form index — TB: 85 | TEX: 90TEX: 54/100

Date

Tue, July 28, 2026

Network

MLB.TV