Boston Red Sox @ Athletics

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 52% confidence

Boston Red Sox49%

Athletics51%

Model Prediction

Athletics

Confidence

52%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ATH: 40/100ATH rated 70/100 vs BOS rated 83/100BOS: 60/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

ATH: 32/100ATH: 1.5 | BOS: 4.7BOS: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

ATH: 90/100ATH: 1.5 | BOS: 4.2BOS: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ATH: 54/100ATH home win rate: 55%BOS: 46/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ATH: 53/100Form index — ATH: 82 | BOS: 78BOS: 47/100

Date

Tue, July 28, 2026

Network

MLB.TV