Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals

Monday, July 27, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 73% confidence

Chicago Cubs37%

St. Louis Cardinals63%

Model Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals

Confidence

73%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

STL: 52/100STL rated 78/100 vs CHC rated 76/100CHC: 48/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

STL: 90/100STL: 4.2 | CHC: 4.3CHC: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

STL: 59/100STL: 4.0 | CHC: 4.4CHC: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

STL: 55/100STL home win rate: 55%CHC: 45/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

STL: 46/100Form index — STL: 74 | CHC: 79CHC: 54/100

Date

Mon, July 27, 2026

Network

MLB.TV