Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals

Monday, July 27, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 52% confidence

Toronto Blue Jays49%

Washington Nationals51%

Model Prediction

Washington Nationals

Confidence

52%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

WSH: 41/100WSH rated 70/100 vs TOR rated 81/100TOR: 59/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

WSH: 33/100WSH: 1.5 | TOR: 4.6TOR: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

WSH: 90/100WSH: 1.5 | TOR: 4.1TOR: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

WSH: 53/100WSH home win rate: 55%TOR: 47/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

WSH: 45/100Form index — WSH: 79 | TOR: 87TOR: 55/100

Date

Mon, July 27, 2026

Network

MLB.TV