Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins

Monday, July 27, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 52% confidence

Philadelphia Phillies49%

Miami Marlins51%

Model Prediction

Miami Marlins

Confidence

52%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

MIA: 40/100MIA rated 70/100 vs PHI rated 83/100PHI: 60/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

MIA: 32/100MIA: 1.5 | PHI: 4.7PHI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

MIA: 90/100MIA: 1.5 | PHI: 4.1PHI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

MIA: 58/100MIA home win rate: 55%PHI: 42/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

MIA: 47/100Form index — MIA: 72 | PHI: 77PHI: 53/100

Date

Mon, July 27, 2026

Network

MLB.TV