Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds

Monday, July 27, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 57% confidence

Cleveland Guardians46%

Cincinnati Reds54%

Model Prediction

Cincinnati Reds

Confidence

57%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CIN: 44/100CIN rated 70/100 vs CLE rated 78/100CLE: 56/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

CIN: 38/100CIN: 1.5 | CLE: 4.0CLE: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

CIN: 90/100CIN: 1.5 | CLE: 3.9CLE: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CIN: 59/100CIN home win rate: 55%CLE: 41/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CIN: 49/100Form index — CIN: 70 | CLE: 71CLE: 51/100

Date

Mon, July 27, 2026

Network

ESPN