Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Monday, July 27, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 54% confidence

Arizona Diamondbacks48%

Pittsburgh Pirates52%

Model Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates

Confidence

54%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PIT: 43/100PIT rated 70/100 vs ARI rated 79/100ARI: 57/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PIT: 34/100PIT: 1.5 | ARI: 4.4ARI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PIT: 90/100PIT: 1.5 | ARI: 4.2ARI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PIT: 55/100PIT home win rate: 55%ARI: 45/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PIT: 45/100Form index — PIT: 68 | ARI: 75ARI: 55/100

Date

Mon, July 27, 2026

Network

MLB.TV