Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 73% confidence

Cincinnati Reds37%

St. Louis Cardinals63%

Model Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals

Confidence

73%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

STL: 56/100STL rated 78/100 vs CIN rated 70/100CIN: 44/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

STL: 90/100STL: 4.2 | CIN: 1.5CIN: 36/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

STL: 50/100STL: 4.0 | CIN: 1.5CIN: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

STL: 55/100STL home win rate: 55%CIN: 45/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

STL: 50/100Form index — STL: 74 | CIN: 73CIN: 50/100

Date

Sat, July 25, 2026

Network

MLB.TV