Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

Friday, July 24, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 72% confidence

Toronto Blue Jays38%

Boston Red Sox62%

Model Prediction

Boston Red Sox

Confidence

72%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

BOS: 52/100BOS rated 83/100 vs TOR rated 81/100TOR: 48/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

BOS: 90/100BOS: 4.7 | TOR: 4.6TOR: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

BOS: 50/100BOS: 4.2 | TOR: 4.1TOR: 52/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

BOS: 53/100BOS home win rate: 58%TOR: 47/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

BOS: 64/100Form index — BOS: 90 | TOR: 70TOR: 36/100

Date

Fri, July 24, 2026

Network

MLB.TV