San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins

Friday, July 24, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 54% confidence

San Diego Padres48%

Miami Marlins52%

Model Prediction

Miami Marlins

Confidence

54%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

MIA: 40/100MIA rated 70/100 vs SD rated 82/100SD: 60/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

MIA: 35/100MIA: 1.5 | SD: 4.3SD: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

MIA: 90/100MIA: 1.5 | SD: 3.9SD: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

MIA: 54/100MIA home win rate: 55%SD: 46/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

MIA: 53/100Form index — MIA: 80 | SD: 75SD: 47/100

Date

Fri, July 24, 2026

Network

MLB.TV