New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

Friday, July 24, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 68% confidence

New York Yankees40%

Philadelphia Phillies60%

Model Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies

Confidence

68%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PHI: 46/100PHI rated 83/100 vs NYY rated 88/100NYY: 54/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PHI: 90/100PHI: 4.7 | NYY: 4.9NYY: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PHI: 50/100PHI: 4.1 | NYY: 3.9NYY: 55/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PHI: 55/100PHI home win rate: 58%NYY: 45/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PHI: 50/100Form index — PHI: 86 | NYY: 85NYY: 50/100

Date

Fri, July 24, 2026

Network

Apple TV