Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

Friday, July 24, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 77% confidence

Cleveland Guardians35%

Tampa Bay Rays65%

Model Prediction

Tampa Bay Rays

Confidence

77%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

TB: 55/100TB rated 84/100 vs CLE rated 78/100CLE: 45/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

TB: 90/100TB: 4.1 | CLE: 4.0CLE: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

TB: 58/100TB: 3.6 | CLE: 3.9CLE: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

TB: 54/100TB home win rate: 58%CLE: 46/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

TB: 59/100Form index — TB: 90 | CLE: 77CLE: 41/100

Date

Fri, July 24, 2026

Network

MLB.TV