Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Friday, July 24, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 57% confidence

Chicago Cubs46%

Pittsburgh Pirates54%

Model Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates

Confidence

57%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PIT: 45/100PIT rated 70/100 vs CHC rated 76/100CHC: 55/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PIT: 35/100PIT: 1.5 | CHC: 4.3CHC: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PIT: 90/100PIT: 1.5 | CHC: 4.4CHC: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PIT: 55/100PIT home win rate: 55%CHC: 45/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PIT: 52/100Form index — PIT: 76 | CHC: 74CHC: 48/100

Date

Fri, July 24, 2026

Network

MLB.TV