Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals

Friday, July 24, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 54% confidence

Arizona Diamondbacks48%

Washington Nationals52%

Model Prediction

Washington Nationals

Confidence

54%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

WSH: 43/100WSH rated 70/100 vs ARI rated 79/100ARI: 57/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

WSH: 34/100WSH: 1.5 | ARI: 4.4ARI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

WSH: 90/100WSH: 1.5 | ARI: 4.2ARI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

WSH: 57/100WSH home win rate: 55%ARI: 43/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

WSH: 38/100Form index — WSH: 58 | ARI: 75ARI: 62/100

Date

Fri, July 24, 2026

Network

MLB.TV