Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros

Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 79% confidence

Miami Marlins34%

Houston Astros66%

Model Prediction

Houston Astros

Confidence

79%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

HOU: 66/100HOU rated 90/100 vs MIA rated 70/100MIA: 34/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

HOU: 90/100HOU: 4.8 | MIA: 1.5MIA: 31/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

HOU: 50/100HOU: 3.6 | MIA: 1.5MIA: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

HOU: 54/100HOU home win rate: 63%MIA: 46/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

HOU: 56/100Form index — HOU: 84 | MIA: 75MIA: 44/100

Date

Wed, July 22, 2026

Network

MLB.TV