Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs

Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 72% confidence

Detroit Tigers38%

Chicago Cubs62%

Model Prediction

Chicago Cubs

Confidence

72%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CHC: 55/100CHC rated 76/100 vs DET rated 70/100DET: 45/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

CHC: 90/100CHC: 4.3 | DET: 1.5DET: 35/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

CHC: 50/100CHC: 4.4 | DET: 1.5DET: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CHC: 56/100CHC home win rate: 54%DET: 44/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CHC: 51/100Form index — CHC: 69 | DET: 68DET: 49/100

Date

Wed, July 22, 2026

Network

MLB.TV