San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves

Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 75% confidence

San Diego Padres36%

Atlanta Braves64%

Model Prediction

Atlanta Braves

Confidence

75%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ATL: 56/100ATL rated 89/100 vs SD rated 82/100SD: 44/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

ATL: 90/100ATL: 5.0 | SD: 4.3SD: 86/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

ATL: 53/100ATL: 3.8 | SD: 3.9SD: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ATL: 59/100ATL home win rate: 62%SD: 41/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ATL: 60/100Form index — ATL: 88 | SD: 74SD: 40/100

Date

Tue, July 21, 2026

Network

MLB.TV