Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees

Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 82% confidence

Pittsburgh Pirates32%

New York Yankees68%

Model Prediction

New York Yankees

Confidence

82%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

NYY: 64/100NYY rated 88/100 vs PIT rated 70/100PIT: 36/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

NYY: 90/100NYY: 4.9 | PIT: 1.5PIT: 31/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

NYY: 50/100NYY: 3.9 | PIT: 1.5PIT: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

NYY: 58/100NYY home win rate: 61%PIT: 42/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

NYY: 71/100Form index — NYY: 92 | PIT: 62PIT: 29/100

Date

Tue, July 21, 2026

Network

MLB.TV