Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

Baltimore Orioles39%

Boston Red Sox61%

Model Prediction

Boston Red Sox

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

BOS: 48/100BOS rated 83/100 vs BAL rated 85/100BAL: 52/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

BOS: 90/100BOS: 4.7 | BAL: 4.8BAL: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

BOS: 50/100BOS: 4.2 | BAL: 4.0BAL: 55/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

BOS: 59/100BOS home win rate: 58%BAL: 41/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

BOS: 47/100Form index — BOS: 87 | BAL: 91BAL: 53/100

Date

Tue, July 21, 2026

Network

MLB.TV