Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners

Tuesday, July 21, 2026Final

Win Probability

AI Model · 73% confidence

Cincinnati Reds37%

Seattle Mariners63%

Model Prediction

Seattle Mariners

Confidence

73%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

SEA: 57/100SEA rated 79/100 vs CIN rated 70/100CIN: 43/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

SEA: 90/100SEA: 4.0 | CIN: 1.5CIN: 38/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

SEA: 50/100SEA: 3.8 | CIN: 1.5CIN: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

SEA: 55/100SEA home win rate: 56%CIN: 45/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

SEA: 51/100Form index — SEA: 75 | CIN: 73CIN: 49/100

Cincinnati Reds0AWAY

Seattle Mariners8HOME