Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

Monday, July 20, 2026Final

Win Probability

AI Model · 66% confidence

Tampa Bay Rays41%

Toronto Blue Jays59%

Model Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays

Confidence

66%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

TOR: 48/100TOR rated 81/100 vs TB rated 84/100TB: 52/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

TOR: 90/100TOR: 4.6 | TB: 4.1TB: 89/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

TOR: 50/100TOR: 4.1 | TB: 3.6TB: 62/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

TOR: 56/100TOR home win rate: 57%TB: 44/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

TOR: 42/100Form index — TOR: 82 | TB: 92TB: 58/100

Tampa Bay Rays7AWAY

Toronto Blue Jays1HOME