San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

San Diego Padres39%

Arizona Diamondbacks61%

Model Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ARI: 48/100ARI rated 79/100 vs SD rated 82/100SD: 52/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

ARI: 90/100ARI: 4.4 | SD: 4.3SD: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

ARI: 50/100ARI: 4.2 | SD: 3.9SD: 57/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ARI: 59/100ARI home win rate: 54%SD: 41/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ARI: 53/100Form index — ARI: 78 | SD: 74SD: 47/100

Date

Tue, August 4, 2026

Network

MLB.TV