Málaga @ Atlético Madrid

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 88% confidence

Málaga15%

Draw22%

Atlético Madrid63%

Model Prediction

Atlético Madrid

Confidence

88%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ATM: 64/100ATM rated 88/100 vs MCF rated 70/100MCF: 36/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

ATM: 90/100ATM: 2.1 | MCF: 1.5MCF: 71/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

ATM: 83/100ATM: 1.0 | MCF: 1.5MCF: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ATM: 61/100ATM home win rate: 70%MCF: 39/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ATM: 64/100Form index — ATM: 87 | MCF: 66MCF: 36/100

Date

Wed, August 19, 2026

Network

ESPN Deportes