Rayo Vallecano @ Sevilla

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 79% confidence

Rayo Vallecano20%

Draw24%

Sevilla56%

Model Prediction

Sevilla

Confidence

79%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

SEV: 59/100SEV rated 76/100 vs RAY rated 65/100RAY: 41/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

SEV: 90/100SEV: 1.5 | RAY: 1.2RAY: 80/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

SEV: 62/100SEV: 1.5 | RAY: 1.7RAY: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

SEV: 56/100SEV home win rate: 56%RAY: 44/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

SEV: 58/100Form index — SEV: 77 | RAY: 65RAY: 42/100

Date

Sat, August 15, 2026

Network

ESPN+