Alavés @ Rayo Vallecano

Thursday, August 20, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 75% confidence

Alavés22%

Draw25%

Rayo Vallecano53%

Model Prediction

Rayo Vallecano

Confidence

75%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

RAY: 53/100RAY rated 65/100 vs ALA rated 61/100ALA: 47/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

RAY: 90/100RAY: 1.2 | ALA: 1.0ALA: 83/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

RAY: 61/100RAY: 1.7 | ALA: 1.9ALA: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

RAY: 56/100RAY home win rate: 48%ALA: 44/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

RAY: 48/100Form index — RAY: 64 | ALA: 67ALA: 52/100

Date

Thu, August 20, 2026

Network

ESPN Deportes