Atlético Madrid @ Athletic Club

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 66% confidence

Atlético Madrid27%

Draw26%

Athletic Club47%

Model Prediction

Athletic Club

Confidence

66%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ATH: 44/100ATH rated 80/100 vs ATM rated 88/100ATM: 56/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

ATH: 86/100ATH: 1.8 | ATM: 2.1ATM: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

ATH: 50/100ATH: 1.3 | ATM: 1.0ATM: 73/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ATH: 61/100ATH home win rate: 61%ATM: 39/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ATH: 30/100Form index — ATH: 71 | ATM: 100ATM: 70/100

Date

Sat, September 5, 2026

Network

ESPN Deportes