Málaga @ Alavés

Friday, October 23, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 62% confidence

Málaga29%

Draw27%

Alavés44%

Model Prediction

Alavés

Confidence

62%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ALA: 43/100ALA rated 61/100 vs MCF rated 70/100MCF: 57/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

ALA: 67/100ALA: 1.0 | MCF: 1.5MCF: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

ALA: 50/100ALA: 1.9 | MCF: 1.5MCF: 71/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ALA: 61/100ALA home win rate: 44%MCF: 39/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ALA: 45/100Form index — ALA: 60 | MCF: 66MCF: 55/100

Date

Fri, October 23, 2026

Network

ESPN Deportes